:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 29 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 180 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jun 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  A B1 level x-ray
event was observed at 29/0503Z. New Region 1085 (S23W24) was
numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been predominately quiet with an isolated
unsettled period at 29/0900-1200Z. Observations from the ACE
satellite indicates the continuation of a high speed solar wind
stream, with winds speeds at about 540 km/s through out the period.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on days one and two (30 June-01
July) with isolated minor storm levels at high latitudes.  Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected on day three (02 July).  The
increase in activity is forecast due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 30 Jun-02 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           29 Jun 074
Predicted   30 Jun-02 Jul  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        29 Jun 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jun  006/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Jun  007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul  015/015-012/012-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jun-02 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/25/20
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    05/05/01