:Product: 1103RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Nov 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Old region 1112 (S19, L=208)
produced two C-class flares, the largest a C4.9 observed at
03/1221Z. A Type II radio sweep, with an estimated velocity of 837
km/s, and an east limb CME were associated with this event. Region
1120 (N39E17) has shown slight decay during the period. A filament
disappeared at 02/2337Z near S64E31.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for M-class events for the next three days
(04-06 November).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (04-06
November).
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
Class M    15/15/15
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Nov 079
Predicted   04 Nov-06 Nov  082/082/082
90 Day Mean        03 Nov 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov  007/007-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01