:Product: 1116RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Nov 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 320 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Nov 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low. Region 1126 (S32E20)
produced a few small B-class flares. New Region 1127 (N25E71)
rotated onto the visible disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance of a C-class flare from Region 1126
over the next three days (17-19 November).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (17-19
November).
III.  Event Probabilities 17 Nov-19 Nov
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           16 Nov 092
Predicted   17 Nov-19 Nov  090/090/090
90 Day Mean        16 Nov 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Nov  005/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Nov  004/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov  007/007-007/007-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Nov-19 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                40/30/40
Minor storm           10/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                40/30/40
Minor storm           20/10/20
Major-severe storm    01/01/05