:Product: 1209RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Dec 09 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 343 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Dec 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next 3 days (10-12 December). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the first half of day 1 (10 December). Mostly unsettled conditions with a chance for isolated active periods are expected through the remainder of the period due to a recurrent coronal hole. III. Event Probabilities 10 Dec-12 Dec Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 09 Dec 087 Predicted 10 Dec-12 Dec 087/087/088 90 Day Mean 09 Dec 083 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 08 Dec 003/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Dec 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec 008/008-010/010-010/010 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Dec-12 Dec A. Middle Latitudes Active 20/30/30 Minor storm 10/20/20 Major-severe storm 01/05/05 B. High Latitudes Active 30/50/50 Minor storm 20/25/25 Major-severe storm 05/10/10