:Product: 0307RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Mar 07 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 067 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Mar 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 984 (S08W93)
rotated quietly around the west limb. The visible disk is now
spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The period ended with solar wind
speed near 320 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomegnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storming. A high speed coronal
hole stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position on 8
March. Active to minor storm periods are expected on 8 and 9 March.
Expect unsettled to active periods on 10 March.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Mar 071
Predicted   08 Mar-10 Mar  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        07 Mar 073
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Mar  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Mar  002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar  012/015-020/020-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                40/50/30
Minor storm           20/25/15
Major-severe storm    10/15/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                50/50/40
Minor storm           25/30/20
Major-severe storm    15/20/10