:Product: 1017RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Oct 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 291 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Oct 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 1005
(N26W42) decayed to spotless plage.  Region 1006 (S26W78) remained
stable with a single spot.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet levels for the forecast period (18 to
20 October).
III.  Event Probabilities 18 Oct-20 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           17 Oct 070
Predicted   18 Oct-20 Oct  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        17 Oct 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Oct  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Oct  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Oct-20 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Oct-20 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                01/01/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                01/01/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01