:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2009 Sep 02 2201 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 245 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Sep 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1025 (N17E05)has decayed to a spotless plage area. No flares were observed. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet with occasional periods of unsettled conditions on days 1 and 2 (3-4 September). Day 3 (5 September) will return to quiet conditions. III. Event Probabilities 03 Sep-05 Sep Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 02 Sep 068 Predicted 03 Sep-05 Sep 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 02 Sep 068 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 01 Sep 002/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Sep 005/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Sep-05 Sep 008/010-008/008-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Sep-05 Sep A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01