:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Nov 23 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 327 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Nov 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours.  The disk is currently spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on days one and two (24-25 Nov).  Based on
recurrence, an increase to unsettled conditions with a slight chance
for isolated active periods is expected on day three (26 Nov).
III.  Event Probabilities 24 Nov-26 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           23 Nov 076
Predicted   24 Nov-26 Nov  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        23 Nov 072
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Nov  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Nov  001/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov  005/005-005/005-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Nov-26 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/20
Minor storm           01/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/15/25
Minor storm           01/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/01