:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 07 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 066 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Mar 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Only low-level B-class
flares were observed during the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (08 - 10 March).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours. A
single period of unsettled conditions was observed at mid-latitudes
between 07/0600Z and 07/0900Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (08
- 09 March) in response to the CME observed on 06 March. Geomagnetic
field activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels on day three
(10 March) as the CME effects subside.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Mar 077
Predicted   08 Mar-10 Mar  080/080/080
90 Day Mean        07 Mar 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Mar  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Mar  006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar  007/008-007/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/10
Minor storm           05/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01