:Product: 0612RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jun 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 163 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jun 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was moderate during the past 24 hours. 
Region 1081 (N24W58) produced an M2.0/SN flare at 0057Z which was
associated with a Type II radio sweep and a weak CME (not earthward
directed). The region also produced a C6.1 flare at 0917Z.  Region
1081 is a small D-type group and appears to be decaying slowly. 
Region 1080 (S24W65) maintains a beta magnetic classification and
produced a C1.0 flare.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-Class event for the next three days
(13-15 June).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels during the last 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the next three days (13-15 June).
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Jun-15 Jun
Class M    10/10/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Jun 076
Predicted   13 Jun-15 Jun  076/076/074
90 Day Mean        12 Jun 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jun  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jun  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jun-15 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jun-15 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01