:Product: 0623RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jun 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 174 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jun 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1082 (N26W52)
produced isolated low-level B-class activity.  At 23/1712Z, SOHO
EIT-195 EUVI imagery observed a possible eruption along a filament
channel centered near N40E50.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels with a slight chance for an isolated C-class
event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (24 June).  Field activity is
expected to increase to mostly unsettled levels, with isolated
active periods, late on day two (25 June) and a slight chance of an
isolated minor storm on day three (26 June).  This increase in
activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream that
is forecasted to become geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           23 Jun 074
Predicted   24 Jun-26 Jun  074/075/076
90 Day Mean        23 Jun 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jun  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jun  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun  005/005-008/008-015/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/25
Minor storm           01/01/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/10/30
Minor storm           01/01/20
Major-severe storm    01/01/05