:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jul 02 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours. 
Region 1084 (S20W06) produced a B1 flare at 01/2054Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low throughout the forecast period (03-05 July).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active
periods at mid and high latitudes. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for an
isolated active period on day 1 (03 July).  Mostly quiet conditions
are expected for days 2 and 3 (04-05 July) as the effects from the
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream subside.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Jul 073
Predicted   03 Jul-05 Jul  073/074/074
90 Day Mean        02 Jul 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul  008/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jul  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul  006/007-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/05/05
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/05/05
Minor storm           10/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01