:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jul 08 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 189 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jul 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The SOHO/LASCO EIT
imagery observed a faint eruption along a filament channel
approaching the northwest limb.  A CME was observed on the C2
imagery following this event around 08/1630Z.  The CME is not
expected to be earth directed.  Several B-class flares were observed
during the last 24 hours which are associated with a loop structured
region approaching the northeast limb (old Region 1083 N19, L=331).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet with isolated unsettled levels for day
one (09 July) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. 
Quiet conditions are expected for days two and three (10-11 July).
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Jul 074
Predicted   09 Jul-11 Jul  076/078/078
90 Day Mean        08 Jul 074
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jul  002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul  005/006-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01