:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Dec 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 338 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Dec 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1130 (N12W83)
was classified as an Hsx-Alpha type spot group.  Region 1131 (N30E40) became more complex overnight and was classified as a Cao-Beta type spot group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels with a chance for a C-class X-ray event during the
next three days (5-7 Dec).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet during the next three days (5-7 Dec).
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Dec 087
Predicted   05 Dec-07 Dec  087/089/089
90 Day Mean        04 Dec 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Dec  000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Dec  001/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Dec-07 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    00/00/01